In Sunday’s loss to the Bills, the Jets struggled on third downs yet again. They went 0 for 11 in those situations, contributing to their ongoing struggles this season. With a conversion rate of just 30 for 131 on third downs after 10 games, the Jets are currently at the bottom of the league in terms of third-down success.
Pro Football Reference data dating back to 1991 shows that no team has had a lower conversion rate on third downs than the Jets’ current rate of 22.9%. This puts them on track to have the worst third-down conversion rate in history by the end of the season. To avoid this fate, they will need to improve their performance significantly and reach at least a 24% conversion rate, which is what teams like the 2005 49ers and 2002 Cowboys achieved.
During Sunday’s game, head coach Robert Saleh made a change by relieving Zach Wilson with Tim Boyle in the third quarter. Afterward, Saleh stated that they will make a decision about who will start against the Dolphins in the NFL’s inaugural Black Friday game. Whether it is Wilson or Boyle, it is clear that the Jets need to work on their third-down performance if they want any chance of turning things around and making a playoff run.