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Investors weigh economic outlook as U.S. Treasury yields decline

The relationship between yields and prices of Treasurys is inverse – when yields decrease, prices increase, and vice versa. Each basis point represents a 0.01% change in yield. As investors closely monitor the latest data and remarks from Federal Reserve officials, they assess the economic outlook with uncertainty surrounding when and how often the Fed will cut interest rates this year, with some policymakers suggesting there may be fewer rate cuts than originally anticipated.

In February, durable goods orders exceeded expectations while consumer confidence in the economy decreased. Looking ahead, key data is expected to be released on Wednesday with Fed Governor Christopher Waller scheduled to speak. The data includes weekly initial jobless claims, GDP for the fourth quarter, and consumer sentiment insights. However, markets will be closed on Good Friday meaning any market reaction to this data will occur the following week.

The most critical data for the week is set to be released on Friday with personal consumption expenditures price index, personal income and spending figures being released. This information will help investors determine whether or not they should continue investing in Treasury bonds or sell them off in anticipation of rising yields as inflation concerns intensify.

By Samantha Jones

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